Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Common Mistakes by Investors in Stock Market

Below list is in no order, I am listing down the common mistakes done by most of investor who invest in equities directly. Will keep on adding more to it.

Buying stocks based on borrowed conviction: Never buy stock based on the conviction borrowed from other person. Though it looks contrary as I am writing about stocks and visitors takes clue from it but always check and test stock on your points and decide only after giving thoughts many times on it.

No focus on Capital Protection: people always want to double money in 1 year or even in 6 months, this is possible but comes with a very high risk. Rather than focusing only on gaining money, first thing you should look in a stock is whether it will be able to protect my capital.

Not gauging oneself risk appetite: A young investor can put money in equities but for a senior citizen it is not advisable to put money in equities. A proper risk assessment of yourself is necessary before buying into stocks. Hedge by investing in gold.

Failing to Diversify: Don’t put all money in a single stock. Ideal number of stocks in a portfolio is a debatable thing, but one should keep only those many stocks in portfolio which he can track easily. Any number between 10 to 15 stocks is good enough for a portfolio. Keeping 5 or less than 5 stocks is called a super concentrated portfolio which is not advised for retail investors. It is the greed which influences people to put all money in a single stock.

Lack of patience: Making money in the stock market is hard not because finding great companies is difficult but because the best and easiest-to-understand strategy for winning is so difficult to adhere to. That strategy can be described in three words: buy and hold. Here buy and hold doesn’t mean that you buy and never sell that stock, it means that you need to verify the fundamentals and stock behaviour once in a while. Frequency for verifying varies from small to large caps. In case of small caps you need to check the performance frequently as it takes no time in changing fortunes of a small cap company on either side.

Doing Averaging: People keeps on buying a falling stock which is not a good practice. You have an investment that drops 50%. How much must it then gain? The answer may surprise you: it’s 100%, just to break even. It is better to put money in some other falling stocks in down market.

Freaking out in market drops: Selling in panic in falling market. If market falls, every stock falls nothing is exception. Strong companies on strong foothold with margins improving will come back easily to previous levels. We have seen it in Feb2016 crash, now all stocks are back or even breaking 52weeks highs.

Note:
Favorable Sector & Government Push: Always buy stocks which have favorable sector wind behind them. If sector is moving then stocks will also move. Example: Currently theme is Make in India, Defense, GST, Cement, Consumers and Power etc., so if you buy stocks in these sector they will have tailwind associated with them. These stocks can give good returns even in falling market sometimes. Jain Irrigation can be considered for this analysis.

Play on Margin Expansion: Companies which are on the verge of margin expansion breakout always give superlative returns as compared to companies which are consistently having margins of 20%+. Example: A Company having a margin of 7% Is expected to raise it to 12% in next 2 years will give more returns compared to a company which is currently having 25% margins and expected to have same 25% going forward.

Debt is not Bad: People try to stay away from the companies which are having debt on their books. Instead of taking immediate call after looking at debt, one should look management perspective about the debt reduction, how they are planning to reduce debt over a period of 2 to 3 years from now. If they are raising debt for expansion plan capex then what is probable period of payback from that expansion?

Free Cash Flow is King: Always check for free cash flow a company is generating, for a company who is on the verge of margin expansion the FCF may not look good but still it can be checked from last 2 quarter results trend. 


Monday, June 27, 2016

Updates

http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/gold-gets-a-leg-up-from-global-leads-jewellers-buying-116062700515_1.html