Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Mahindra & Mahindra.. Entering into Solar Energy...

Friends….. I am pasting the exact verbatim script of interview of Mr Anand Mahindra given to CNBC at WEF (world economic forum)…… M&M has a very clear, hard working, investor friendly management…… They are a very reputed group of business house in India.. very well known for innovations…. M&M is growing at rapid pace and NOW planning to enter the Solar Energy Area… To me this solar energy area has huge huge potential to be churned out…. I am very bullish on solar energy space… I will give my comments at the last of this article……


Q: This theme resonate with you as well in some sense because last year’s meeting, the meeting that you do at the beginning of every year to set the tone for Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), also was three ‘R’ dominating meeting. What does it mean to be able to rethink, redesign, rebuild in your context at M&M for the next decade? I am not talking about this year or the next two years, but this decade is going to be characterized by very different global economy as oppose to the last. What kind of work does that setout for you?

A: I am glad that my three R's came one year before. If you remember what I had said was reboot, reinvent and reignite and in a sense it could be paraphrasing the same thing. So we are prepared for this new decade that will emerge and for which the WEF is preparing.

We think it means that a whole number of old models of economic policies of financial regulation of the way in which businessmen monitor themselves all that has got to be rechanged or rethought. In other ways, they are saying think about your fundamental underlying propositions to everything you do and once you do that, once you create a Tabula Rasa, so to speak in your mind then you have to redesign. You have to redesign in order to build for that new world or to put on to that new clean slate. I hope that this conference does get down to that level and we do not spend time only arguing about how to rethink things and get into ideological battle. If we get beyond that and start talking about the actual redesigning of mechanism, the redesigning of regulations, that would be very useful.

‘Rebuild’ is a question of execution. I do not believe that’s the job of Davos or the WEF. What WEF wants is dialogue, conversation, rethinking and redesigning and then going out and executing. So I believe rebuild is more an instruction and a clarion call rather than something you are going to see accomplished at the WEF.

What does it mean for Mahindra? As I said we have a one year head start on this game plan so to speak. It means that we have to relook at every value proposition we have — what are people going to want, do we focus on peoples needs as oppose to their wants, which what we were thinking of doing earlier; do we have to go back to frugal engineering and frugal innovation is that going to be the mantra, how do we deploy it in a more judicious manner. Implementation is a common thread always, there is nothing different about rebuilding; one is always building, you are always destroying the old building the new. So I think the third ‘R’ is not really something we will agonize about. It’s the first two that Mahindra will be focusing on.


Q: Right now your business is obviously dominated by auto, over the next ten years; do you see businesses like IT become an equal part in terms of their contribution to revenue? What is the shape and the set of the contribution of the group likely to be five to eight years down the line, how are you planning that?

A: I am asked this question very often, questions about ‘What size group do you want to have? Ten years from now, what is the share of revenues is going to be?’ I believe that half the fun in my job is not trying to pin things down to that level or metrics. What you want is a template; you want to have a federation, a diversified federation that embodies a certain common set of values that embodies entrepreneurship that grows on India’s growth and so on. Then let the best person win.

Last year, the IT sector had way surpassed the automotive and farm business in terms of both revenue and profits. This quarter it is the automotive and farm equipment sector that is back to being more than 60% of the pie and there were literally whoops in the air by those sectors. So I love that race, I love that competitiveness. Why should we presume that IT will be larger? I would love people to go in there and prove everyone wrong. The question is have you unleashed entrepreneurialism and growth and then let the chips fall where they may.


Q: You have also spoken about previously of one of your new interest and that is solar energy. How are you going to go about doing any of that? Why I am asking you this question is not to pin you down on which specific new businesses are you looking at over the course of the next ten years, but to better understand whether at the end of this decade is M&M going to be very different collection of businesses as oppose to how we see it today or will auto always dominate everything you do?

A: It could be any of the above. It could be auto continuing to dominate; it could be whole new slew of businesses that are coming out and have stolen the limelight, it might be a judicious mix. Solar energy, renewable for e.g. this is being done under the new internal private equity department, it is called Mahindra Partners and they have been doing work in fact for a good 18 months now in research into how we come out with a plan for solar energy. About a year ago I wrote an editorial in the ‘Times of India’ about my belief in what they call concentrated solar power and how that could be a mother load for India. We could be a Saudi Arabia of solar energy for e.g. that was a very tentative look at it and since then they have been working on this template. We have some plans which are underway, nothing that I could reveal or excite with you right now, but certainly we have great intent.


Q: When you say great intent can you tell us how it is going to work? Are you at M&M going to start up another company or business that is actually going to go about the business of putting up solar power plant or are you going to seed fund ventures that you think are exciting in the renewable space? Is this going to become in revenue line for M&M or an interest space?

A: I hope there is nothing I am doing that won’t become a revenue line for M&M otherwise I should probably have my salary reduced. So I certainly think that if we spend that kind of time there should be a revenue line and very positively a profit line as well. Which one could it be? That’s exactly what we are looking into right now. Should we be integrators, should we be developers, should we put out the plans which technology should we bet on, should we bet on a slew of technology? The one thing we are finding out is that there is no hard and fast roadmap today, there is no even within concentrating solar power (CSP) there is no specified technology. TV which looked like it would be falling behind suddenly is catching up again with thin film technology.

So it’s a very interesting field and what we are looking at is how do we play in this field, how do we become initiate as a projects and exploit the natural advantage that India has. There is no algorithm we have come up with yet, we will share at the moment we will have one.


Q: What else interests you that could potentially become a whole new business for M&M in the course of these next ten years?

A: The reason we have set up Mahindra Partners is so that we can explore all these new avenues. The thing that I found is that with relative success comes deal flow, when you demonstrate that you can create a viable model of new businesses that when you can maintain your value system and your reliability while doing that, then you get a number of technologists, companies overseas companies coming to you to look at how you can do business. So everyday there is new deal flow, which one of these will become something that M&M will bet on and will become a big business, I don't know. That is the fun of going to work everyday.


Q: Give me at least the spaces that you are interested in?

A: Everything comes in. What we look at is whether it is going to be something that we can scale up that could be material that has a place either in India or globally for us to create some traction through comparative advantage, use the eco system of M&M. We have a whole slew of things or template that you overlay and then you say, this one looks more promising and this is what we will pursue. That is how Mahindra Partners is working. So it is a very exciting area right now.


My Comments are here……………..

Some estimate that the sun can produce 10,000 times as much energy as the Earth uses at the turn of the 21st century. The future of solar energy depends mostly on how it is applied, rather than whether it would be enough energy to be a viable world power source. The geographical location of India provides long days of sunny weather for the majority of the year. This allows solar energy in India to be a viable option for a means of generating electricity for a large proportion of the population. It is believed that the geographical location of India allows the country to receive well over 4500 trillion kWh of pure solar energy each year, which is far beyond the annual power consumption of India, and even that of the United States who in 2004 used less than 4 trillion kWh of energy. The main con of solar energy which lies at the heart of the debate of proposed solar installations for many countries such as India is the cost, but as time goes by, manufacturing methods can become more cost effective, therefore making the end product cheaper for consumers.

XL Telecom, Webel Energy, Moser Baer, Suryachakra, PAE are some stocks which are playing in solar energy area….. You need to watch them out… All of them have great future.. though the management of XL telecom is fighting with poor results and high debt..

Monday, January 25, 2010

Some Updates about Banswara Syntex!!

On 4th January I have given a call on Banswara Syntex when it was hovering around 95Rs ….. Friends today Economic times came out with a detailed report for a buy call on this scrip…. I am pasting the exact text here for your reference…….. read this….

Banswara has still lot of steam left and has a long way to go from here……


Banswara Syntex stock a good buy on dips

A 33-year-old integrated textile manufacturer, Banswara Syntex has benefited the most during the recent run in stocks of some of the integrated textile manufacturers. The company experienced a jump in its operating margins in the current financial year due to improved exports while rising prices of yarns have also supported the margins in the latest quarter.

Company:

Banswara Syntex is a Rajasthan-based blended yarn and fabric manufacturer. The company manufactures all types of blended yarns, namely polyester, viscose, woolen and acrylic other than cotton. It also manufactures fabrics and garments on made to order basis and supplies them to all top retail brands. Banswara has entered into a 50% joint venture with French textile company Carreman for a weaving plant of 60 looms. The company has started production of technical textiles while it also manufactures Lycra branded fabrics especially for women fashion clothing, women office clothing and school uniforms.

The fabric business is currently the larger contributor to the total revenue, with more than 60% of sales coming from the segment. The rest 40% to the topline is contributed by the yarn business, a major chunk of which comes from the sale of polyester yarn. The company exports its products to nearly 50 countries and exports accounted for nearly 60% of revenue in the current quarter. Banswara has coal-based and furnace oil thermal power-based power plant with a capacity of 18 MW (mega watt) and 9 MW respectively, both of which are used for captive consumption of power. The company has planned for an additional 15/18 MW thermal-based power plant, which is expected to commence operation at the end of ‘10.

Financials:

In the last five financial years, the company’s topline grew at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% while net profit increased with a CAGR of 40%. The revenue experienced a big push in FY10 thanks to a substantial demand recovery in the March ‘09 quarter. On a trailing year basis, while the improvement in profit margins continued during the latest four quarters, the interest cover has improved in the last two quarters. This is in line with a decline in the interest cost (from 5.9% to 5.1% of net sales) in the latest two quarters on a trailing year basis. While a high debt to equity ratio (4:1 for FY10) is a concern, the growth in debt is accompanied by a similar expansion in the gross block. The company has a capex plan of Rs 110 for the next financial year, about one-third of which is to be resourced through internal accruals, and the rest through term loans. The funds are to be used for construction of another power plant and modernisation of the current production facilities.

Growth drivers:

The company expects to further bank on its fabric line of business by focussing on niche market products like Lycra and technical textiles. In recent months, it has received an initial order of 57,000 metres of three-layer waterproof breathable fabrics from ministry of defense and a third repeat order of 20,000 metres of technical fabric from a US-based customer. Banswara has planned for an additional 15/18 MW thermal based power plant which is expected to commence operation at the end of 2010. The power generated by this plant would primarily be used for internal consumption and surplus for sale.

Valuations:

The stock has demonstrated an outstanding performance not only against the Sensex but also among all textile companies. Against a 75% gain in the Sensex, the market-cap of Banswara experienced a six-fold jump. At the current market price, the PE ratio stands at 4.5, lower than its average for the last five years and closer to the average of the last two years. The stock is a good buy on dips given the company’s focus to promote its niche textile products.


Friends.. for me it is still a undervalued scrip...... take your own call......

Monday, January 11, 2010

Some Updates
UB Engineering and Banswara Syntex....

Just to keep updated.. I have given advice to watch out UB Engineering and Banswara Syntex.. when they were hovering around 110 and 90 levels respectively... Now UB Engineering is going up and up on daily basis... now at 141 and locked at upper circuit... still has has lot lot of steam left... hold on it....it has a long way to go from here....

banswara has agreed for dividend... it is a clear hold....

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

SCHRADER DUNCAN LTD




Jumped from 130 levels to Rs200...


I believe some good story is coming up in this counter... Watch it out...


promoter holding is 74%...


Guys,,, find out more about this stock about your own....



Rgds,
Deepak


Monday, January 4, 2010

Kalpena Industries..CMP:135..Keep and eye on it.....

Guys i was just going through the announcmenet made by this company and i found something interesting......... I believe something is happening in this company.. just go to bseindia website and read out its announcment of november month..... they have alloted Sixty Lakhs warrants to various third party financial institutions at a Price of Rs140....

i am pasting the correct annoucement below:

27 Nov-2009
Kalpena Industries Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on November 27, 2009, inter alia, has passed a resolution for allotment of 60,00,000 (Sixty Lacs) warrants convertible into Equity Shares at a price of Rs. 80/- each at a premium of Rs. 70/- on preferential basis to promoters and others the details whereof are given below:-

1. M/S. Tara Holdings Pvt. Ltd. (30,00,000 Warrants)

2. M/s. Inbara Holdings Pvt. Ltd. (14,50,000 Warrants) collectively referred to as Promoter Group Companies and

3. M/s. Subh Labh Vintrade Pvt. Ltd. (15,50,000 Warrants), a Strategic Investors not forming part of Promoter Group, in compliance with Chapter VII of the SEBI (ICDR) Regulations, 2009, The Companies Act, 1956, The Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956, The Depositories Act, 1996.



It has MCAP of aprox 160 crore and Sales turnover for Mar 2009 was 600 crore.... 4 times...just imagine

Reserves of 60 crore over equity of 15 crore... it looks good....

Promoter Holding : 74%

Still 10 Paid up share.....


Investors can add this stock to their portfolio... but self homework is very much necessary always...

take your own call..........

bye


Some Stocks to Watch out for!!!!

Friends,

Keep an eye on

Banswara Syntex
Uflex
UB Engineering

According to me all these 3 stocks are good to buy now for a good appreciation.... uflex belongs to a very good group and according to me is going cheap.... its ready to take off....

UB Engineering belongs to Mr Mallaya group and it is the only company which is available cheap at this moment..... i think one should think about it....

i will come up again shortly with something more on these stocks.. byt that time dig something out about these....


Take your own decision.....